Bitcoin (BTC) hit multi-day lows into Aug. 10 as crypto traders braced for impact with fresh United States inflation data.
BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView
Trader: Market “could get ugly” if CPI keeps rising
Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD dipping to $22,668 on Bitstamp at the most recent daily close — its lowest since Aug. 5.
Bullish momentum had evaporated during the day prior, and the mood among traders was firmly risk-off as markets awaited the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) readout.
Covering July, the data was due at 8.30am Eastern time Aug. 10, with expectations demanding it show that U.S. inflation had already peaked.
“CPI prints have been pretty pitoval for BTC price action,” Blockware lead insights analyst William Clemente wrote in part of a tweet about the event, adding that CPI would form a “big day” for crypto.
An accompanying chart showed the impact of previous CPI readouts on BTC/USD.
BTC/USD annotated chart showing CPI events. Source: William Clemente/ Twitter
Trader and analyst Daan Crypto Trades meanwhile gave a CPI reading of 9.1 or above as “bearish” for price action against current expectations of 8.7.
CPI Guide for today in my opinion:
8.7-9.1 Neutral probably slightly bearish
Core CPI YoY
More thoughts below
— Daan Crypto Trades (@DaanCrypto) August 10, 2022
“The market has been pumping on the idea of inflation having likely peaked the past month,” he wrote in a dedicated thread.
“If it doesn’t get that confirmation today I think it could get ugly short term as the peak will likely be moved forward another 1-2 months. Which likely means a delayed Fed pivot as well.”
Macro analyst Alex Krueger was more dismissive, meanwhile, calling CPI a “little number” while acknowledging its impact on risk asset trends.
BTC price still far from bullish pivot zone
BTC price action thus stayed wedged in a familiar range with classic support and resistance levels still in play.
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