Bitcoin ‘Santa rally’ pauses at $51.5K as funds bet on a sub-$60K BTC price for January 2022

Bitcoin (BTC) lost momentum at $51,500 on Dec. 24 as traders weighed the odds of a “Santa rally” coming true for Christmas. 

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

BTC sees potent long-term retest

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView saw BTC/USD preserve its gains from Dec. 23, these totaling 6% with resistance most recently kicking in at just above $51,500.

Opinions were mixed among weary traders about the strength of the rally and whether it could endure for long.

Still in its familiar range despite the overnight uptick, Bitcoin needed to show its muscle on longer timeframes, Cointelegraph reported analysis as saying earlier.

For filbfilb, co-founder of trading platform Decentrader, a combination of low funding rates and top traders turning long at the expense of more bearish retail among other triggers served as reason to be more hopeful.


Diag Breakout
Top traders long, normies fading the move up
OI up 2.86 bn / 40%
Funding low
Sitting right below 10x liquidations

Happy Christmas.

— filbfilb (@filbfilb) December 24, 2021

Trader analyst Rekt Capital meanwhile noted that the reversal currently meant that Bitcoin had “successfully retested” the top of a falling wedge structure in place for much of 2021. BTC/USD had originally broken out of the wedge at the end of September.

#BTC has successfully retested the top of the macro Flagging Structure as support$BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin

— Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) December 24, 2021

Data from the research arm of derivatives exchange Deribit added that funds were getting more bullish about a Bitcoin price in the mid-$50,000s in January.

“Additional funds jumping into the NewYear play,” the firm tweeted on Dec. 24.

“This time, refocus on BTC, as one large Fund buys a strip of Jan14 52–56k Calls x1200 around 49.5k spot, just before spike >50k.”

At press time, BTC/USD stood at just under $51,000.

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