Upstart stock plunges again after admitting it won’t hit disappointing forecast

Upstart Holdings Inc. disappointed investors with its guidance in May, and faces Wall Street’s wrath once again after admitting Thursday it came up well short of the mark.

disclosed late Thursday that executives expect second-quarter losses and revenue to come in well short of targets they forecast in May, when the company’s disappointing forecast led to shares being cut by more than half in a single session. After disclosing preliminary results, shares dove more than 14% in after-hours trading Thursday.

Upstart, which lends money while leveraging artificial intelligence to make loan decisions, revealed that revenue for the second quarter is now expected to be roughly $228 million, after originally guiding for sales of $295 million to $305 million. Analysts had been estimating second-quarter sales of $335 million before Upstart provided guidance, and had since brought down that target to $298 million, according to FactSet.

The lending company’s second-quarter loss is now expected to be $27 million to $31 million, after executives previously guided for breakeven to a loss of $4 million. Analysts polled by FactSet still expected Upstart to produce a small profit of less than $1 million despite that guidance, a reduction from expectations of $24 million in profit before the guidance.

For more: Upstart earnings highlighted ‘perfect storm of headwinds’

“Our revenue was negatively impacted by two factors approximately equally,” Chief Executive Dave Girouard said in a prepared statement. “First, our marketplace is funding-constrained, largely driven by concerns about the macroeconomy among lenders and capital market participants. Second, in Q2, we took action to convert loans on our balance sheet into cash, which, given the quickly increasing rate environment, negatively impacted our revenue.”

Upstart went public in December 2020, pricing its initial batch of shares at $20 apiece. The stock has never traded that low on the public markets, however — it opened at $26…


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